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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Player Comparison

Side-by-side

Current season, prior year, and blended projection — plus Statcast percentiles.

Lance McCullers Jr.HOU · SP
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2026 Season
Year to date
PlayerGGSIPWSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%xwOBAPPG
Lance McCullers Jr.HOU8839.32006.865.0624.9%12.7%.3304.50
2025 Season
Prior year
PlayerGGSIPWSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%xwOBAPPG
Lance McCullers Jr.HOU161355.32006.515.7422.3%14.2%.3552.46
2026 Projection
Blended (ATC · ZiPS · Steamer · THE BAT · BATX · FG · Oopsy)
PlayerGGSIPWSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%xwOBAPPG
Lance McCullers Jr.HOU17742.02004.444.2822.8%11.3%—6.18
2026 Statcast percentiles
vs qualified MLB pool · red = elite, blue = poor
PlayerFB VeloFB SpinExtensionxwOBABarrel %Hard-Hit %K %BB %Chase %Whiff %
Lance McCullers Jr.90.322076.00.3308.650.524.912.727.123.0