Aaron Civale

Aaron Civale

P · ATH
MLBAM 650644
Seasons
YrBFK%BB%xwOBAPtsPPG
20268918.0%6.7%0.328399.75
202543620.2%7.6%0.3161486.17
202468921.6%7.5%0.3162948.91
202350423.0%6.5%0.30027611.50
202240724.1%5.4%0.3101827.58
202150019.8%6.2%0.33326111.35
202031422.0%5.1%0.3221289.85
201922720.3%7.0%0.27912412.40

2026 MLB Percentile Rankings

Arsenal
FB Velocity
4
89.3
FB Spin
89
2472
Extension
4
5.67
Results
xwOBA
46
0.328
Barrel %
70
6.2
Hard-Hit %
8
52.3
K %
28
18.0
BB %
73
6.7
Chase %
16
25.7
Whiff %
32
20.6
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
117
96th pctl
Stuff+
102
if they swing
Command+
111
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
108
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.5%
37 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.039
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.003 better than avg · 125 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.009
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.038 better than avg · 26 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 433 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3BMORERISEMOREDROPARMANGLE42°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FCSICUFFFSSL
Usage34%23%21%10%7%5%
MPH87.591.277.391.384.382.0
RHP Avg89.894.380.295.086.786.7

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FCSICUFFFSSL-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCSICUFFFSSL-2-101212341B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FCSICUFFFSSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.

2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin

Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.

0.511.522.53DECISIONPOINTFF · 20FC · 22SI · 24SL · 34FS · 34CU · 34arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises

Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.