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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Aaron Judge

Aaron Judge

OF·NYY
Compare
Compare
PA
679
H
179
HR
53
AVG
.331
xwOBA
.483
PPG
3.93
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202659261.248.376.533.285.42527.6%16.1%11.5%1751722.92—
2025164679.331
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
99
.483
xBA
99
.300
xSLG
.461
.688
.357
.483
23.6%
18.3%
5.3%
53
12
644
3.93
—
2024177704.322.459.701.379.49424.3%18.9%5.4%58126773.82—
2023111458.267.409.613.346.47528.4%19.2%9.2%3733543.19—
2022178696.311.428.686.375.48225.1%15.9%9.2%62176573.69—
2021155633.287.376.544.257.42025.0%11.8%13.2%3964232.73—
202037114.257.336.554.297.38028.1%8.8%19.3%901133.05—
2019114447.272.382.540.268.40731.5%14.3%17.2%2752822.47—
2018121500.277.394.525.248.39730.4%15.2%15.2%2763512.90—
2017177678.284.424.627.343.45930.7%18.7%12.0%52105603.16—
99
.712
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
99
95.4
Median EV
98
98.2
90th % EV
98
111.9
Barrel %
99
24.7
Hard-Hit %
98
58.2
Sweet-Spot %
91
40.5
Bat Speed
Avg
96
74.8
Median
96
76.8
90th %
94
81.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
79
22.5
Whiff %
0
32.4
K %
31
23.6
BB %
99
18.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
73
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-43.2r
366 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-50.7r
450 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.7%
2,685 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.50
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
33-17%6+11%9-29%722+13%8+18%11+12%17-30%27+7%30+26%19+20%10+8%25+12%33-40%43-31%45-6%36+4%23+40%10+28%25+13%64-33%51-27%64-33%46+30%20+43%14+0%24+18%39+9%44-8%37-46%24+11%95+17%12+7%15+0%143523CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000