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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Adam Wainwright

Adam Wainwright

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj001.000004.984.8213.2%7.4%5.8%————15.04
20232121101.0511007.405.8311.4%8.5%2.9%.400.35763.0%41.1%-30-1.43
20223434199.7111400
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

3.74
3.78
17.8%
6.7%
11.1%
.333
.298
75.5%
43.7%
319
9.38
20213535220.3177003.023.6221.0%6.0%15.0%.305.25378.9%48.7%53415.26
2020111169.053003.263.9720.6%5.7%14.9%.324.26378.3%44.0%15714.27
20193534192.31412004.024.1520.5%8.6%11.9%.333.31177.0%49.4%3239.23
20188840.324004.464.2222.1%9.9%12.2%.317.31074.1%51.2%526.50
20172625132.3125005.034.2217.6%8.2%9.4%.330.32367.8%49.8%1887.23
20163434203.01310004.703.8619.0%6.9%12.1%.331.33369.0%45.2%2958.68
201513747.722002.082.7618.0%3.6%14.4%.265.29578.1%51.7%1017.77