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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #98 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Addison Barger
Addison Barger · #60
V⁻ -13VORP 3V⁺ 14
Addison Barger

Addison Barger

3B / OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
28
H
1
HR
0
AVG
.045
xwOBA
.256
PPG
0.44
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj45196.239.309.417.178.32324.1%8.6%15.6%72942.08—
2026928.045
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

28 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.256
xBA
0
.147
.222
.091
.046
.256
25.0%
17.9%
7.1%
0
0
4
0.44
—
2025152503.243.302.453.210.33524.1%7.2%16.9%2143202.11—
202469225.197.251.351.154.29726.7%6.2%20.5%72851.23—
xSLG
0
.245
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
37
89.0
Median EV
78
95.0
90th % EV
51
105.2
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
84
50.0
Sweet-Spot %
0
25.0
Bat Speed
Avg
77
72.9
Median
65
73.1
90th %
79
78.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
16
35.5
Whiff %
65
19.2
K %
24
25.0
BB %
97
17.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
52
≈ 1th pctl
Chase cost
-4.9r
33 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.1r
18 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.5%
132 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-4.55
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12145+0%74241+33%6-50%855+0%9532-71%7-12%8-33%6233332412211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 132