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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Addison Barger

Addison Barger

3B / OF·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
503
H
112
HR
21
AVG
.243
xwOBA
.335
PPG
2.11
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026928.045.222.091.046.25625.0%17.9%7.1%0040.44—
2025152503.243
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

503 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
52
.335
xBA
46
.253
.302
.453
.210
.335
24.1%
7.2%
16.9%
21
4
320
2.11
—
202469225.197.251.351.154.29726.7%6.2%20.5%72851.23—
xSLG
63
.460
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
80
91.7
Median EV
88
95.3
90th % EV
84
107.9
Barrel %
64
11.4
Hard-Hit %
89
51.0
Sweet-Spot %
59
36.7
Bat Speed
Avg
96
74.7
Median
93
75.7
90th %
91
80.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
31.0
Whiff %
38
23.6
K %
30
24.1
BB %
31
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
88
≈ 11th pctl
Chase cost
-39.5r
364 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.9r
291 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.2%
1,971 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.97
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+0%63+40%10+0%12-9%113+0%9+27%26+13%30+25%36+0%41+15%20+0%8+40%25-10%30-32%75-32%71-28%58+9%32+69%13+42%24+12%33-26%61-27%55-24%37+34%29+44%9+45%22+46%24+31%26+17%23+44%16+54%1344+0%645321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000