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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

C·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
687
H
163
HR
20
AVG
.277
xwOBA
.378
PPG
2.64
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202648204.267.347.489.222.37213.7%10.3%3.4%801432.98—
202593367.219
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
87
.378
xBA
91
.289
xSLG
.307
.364
.145
.326
15.5%
10.9%
4.6%
9
0
179
1.92
—
2024154639.250.321.390.140.32416.1%9.1%7.0%1913382.19—
2023162687.277.377.435.158.37814.7%13.4%1.3%2014282.64—
2022113470.254.364.445.191.34418.3%13.8%4.5%1342762.44—
71
.473
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
29
88.4
Median EV
28
91.2
90th % EV
31
104.2
Barrel %
36
7.5
Hard-Hit %
25
38.6
Sweet-Spot %
82
38.8
Bat Speed
Avg
22
68.6
Median
23
69.9
90th %
21
74.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
80
23.4
Whiff %
92
13.9
K %
87
14.7
BB %
90
13.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 63th pctl
Chase cost
-47.1r
462 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-24.2r
487 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.2%
2,954 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.41
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+17%6+0%7+0%8+27%11+0%1633+20%15+42%24+5%38-9%44+29%31+0%171+32%38+2%55-33%69-34%53+0%42+31%26+20%10+28%32+0%44-31%68-38%60-14%37+40%20+63%8+29%17+0%13+47%17-4%24+10%21+0%73345+0%1022CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000