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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

C·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
639
H
143
HR
19
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.324
PPG
2.19
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202650212.270.354.492.222.37113.7%10.8%2.9%801523.04—
202593367.219
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
31
.324
xBA
62
.258
xSLG
.307
.364
.145
.326
15.5%
10.9%
4.6%
9
0
179
1.92
—
2024154639.250.321.390.140.32416.1%9.1%7.0%1913382.19—
2023162687.277.377.435.158.37814.7%13.4%1.3%2014282.64—
2022113470.254.364.445.191.34418.3%13.8%4.5%1342762.44—
34
.412
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
88.2
Median EV
19
90.5
90th % EV
15
102.3
Barrel %
20
6.1
Hard-Hit %
19
36.6
Sweet-Spot %
63
36.6
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.5
Median
13
68.6
90th %
12
73.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
40
28.9
Whiff %
85
15.5
K %
81
16.1
BB %
54
9.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-50.2r
460 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.4r
455 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.4%
2,604 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.79
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+0%9+27%11+21%14+13%1655+18%11+29%34+8%37+24%34+37%35+61%18+23%13+35%26-8%51-47%55-33%70-26%50+54%28+31%13+42%26+4%45-36%69-42%48-37%30+50%16+67%6+31%13+31%13-4%26+22%18+13%15+20%102355+9%11+0%63CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000