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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

C·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
367
H
71
HR
9
AVG
.219
xwOBA
.326
PPG
1.92
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202648204.267.347.489.222.37213.7%10.3%3.4%801432.98—
202593367.219
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

367 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
39
.326
xBA
31
.242
.307
.364
.145
.326
15.5%
10.9%
4.6%
9
0
179
1.92
—
2024154639.250.321.390.140.32416.1%9.1%7.0%1913382.19—
2023162687.277.377.435.158.37814.7%13.4%1.3%2014282.64—
2022113470.254.364.445.191.34418.3%13.8%4.5%1342762.44—
xSLG
33
.415
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
37
89.4
Median EV
33
92.2
90th % EV
36
104.6
Barrel %
27
7.5
Hard-Hit %
23
38.6
Sweet-Spot %
26
34.5
Bat Speed
Avg
19
68.2
Median
19
69.6
90th %
26
75.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
85
21.6
Whiff %
93
13.4
K %
82
15.5
BB %
74
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 75th pctl
Chase cost
-21.2r
218 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.9r
254 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.6%
1,491 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.29
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+14%7+0%6+0%9+10%105+33%9+5%22+9%35+0%27+29%24+25%20+0%7+41%41+6%49-41%54-37%70-28%57+62%26+8%13+32%22-23%47-33%57-40%57-20%41+50%32+22%9+12%17+21%19-4%28+30%30+15%20+55%115255+17%6331CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000