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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Aledmys Díaz

Aledmys Díaz

SS·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
344
H
72
HR
4
AVG
.229
xwOBA
.276
PPG
0.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20241234.091.118.091.000.20626.5%2.9%23.6%00-2-0.17—
2023113344.229
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

344 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.276
xBA
13
.232
.283
.337
.108
.276
19.2%
4.9%
14.3%
4
1
112
0.99
—
2022103327.243.289.403.160.31116.2%5.5%10.7%1211671.62—
202193319.259.317.405.146.32419.4%5.0%14.4%801531.65—
20202759.241.254.483.242.28720.3%1.7%18.6%30531.96—
201982248.270.364.464.194.34511.3%10.5%0.8%921782.17—
2018131453.262.305.452.190.33313.7%5.1%8.6%1832682.05—
201785302.258.290.390.132.27513.9%4.3%9.6%741551.82—
2016112460.300.374.510.210.32813.0%8.9%4.1%1743332.97—
xSLG
1
.333
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
87.4
Median EV
13
89.6
90th % EV
14
102.5
Barrel %
3
2.8
Hard-Hit %
11
33.5
Sweet-Spot %
2
29.5
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.3
Median
32
70.6
90th %
21
74.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
17
34.3
Whiff %
60
20.3
K %
58
19.2
BB %
5
4.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 51th pctl
Chase cost
-20.8r
235 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.7r
172 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.6%
1,208 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.53
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
1+0%7+0%12+29%7521+20%10+21%33-15%33+40%20+29%31+50%82+44%18+6%36-28%72-22%67-17%40+41%224+28%18+13%48-28%83-19%59-24%37+54%24+0%7+27%15+66%38+40%50+7%28+11%27+50%83+25%8+25%8+17%12+29%715CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000