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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #9 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Alejandro Kirk
Alejandro Kirk · #9
V⁻ 4VORP -187V⁺ 21
Alejandro Kirk

Alejandro Kirk

C·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
22
H
3
HR
1
AVG
.150
xwOBA
.298
PPG
2.20
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj60237.269.348.420.151.34412.1%10.3%1.8%701422.37—
2026522.150
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

22 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
15
.298
xBA
55
.261
.227
.350
.200
.298
9.1%
9.1%
0.0%
1
0
11
2.20
—
2025151506.282.352.421.139.36111.7%9.5%2.2%1513682.44—
2024104386.253.326.359.106.33013.2%9.1%4.1%501851.78—
2023128423.249.335.357.108.32210.6%9.9%0.7%802171.70—
2022150542.285.374.414.129.35710.7%11.6%-0.9%1403512.34—
202161189.242.332.436.194.36911.6%10.1%1.5%801141.87—
2020925.375.400.583.208.34416.0%4.0%12.0%10192.11—
xSLG
12
.351
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
8
85.5
Median EV
8
87.6
90th % EV
48
104.9
Barrel %
22
5.6
Hard-Hit %
58
44.4
Sweet-Spot %
26
33.3
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.5
Median
36
70.9
90th %
40
75.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
5
40.5
Whiff %
93
12.5
K %
98
9.1
BB %
45
9.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 29th pctl
Chase cost
-2.9r
29 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.4r
15 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.3%
122 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.76
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
22125324213+0%7-25%8+0%75423-11%9-45%11-17%631+33%65313CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 122