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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Alejandro Kirk

Alejandro Kirk

C·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
423
H
93
HR
8
AVG
.249
xwOBA
.322
PPG
1.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026522.150.227.350.200.2989.1%9.1%0.0%10112.20—
2025151506.282
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

423 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
27
.322
xBA
40
.250
.352
.421
.139
.361
11.7%
9.5%
2.2%
15
1
368
2.44
—
2024104386.253.326.359.106.33013.2%9.1%4.1%501851.78—
2023128423.249.335.357.108.32210.6%9.9%0.7%802171.70—
2022150542.285.374.414.129.35710.7%11.6%-0.9%1403512.34—
202161189.242.332.436.194.36911.6%10.1%1.5%801141.87—
2020925.375.400.583.208.34416.0%4.0%12.0%10192.11—
xSLG
16
.389
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.6
Median EV
14
89.8
90th % EV
14
102.8
Barrel %
14
5.2
Hard-Hit %
25
38.3
Sweet-Spot %
19
33.1
Bat Speed
Avg
19
68.3
Median
17
69.5
90th %
46
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
59
26.7
Whiff %
97
11.7
K %
96
10.6
BB %
62
9.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 66th pctl
Chase cost
-30.4r
281 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.9r
304 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.9%
1,813 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.38
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
222+45%11+13%822+67%6+50%16+23%22+0%25+54%26+14%74+55%11-38%39-39%57-25%59-9%58+35%20+0%11+42%36-5%43-30%79-34%77-15%41+40%10+0%6+32%22+16%44+5%40-3%32+8%12+10%202+0%12+8%13+0%8+0%9422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000