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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Alejandro Kirk

Alejandro Kirk

C·TOR
Compare
Compare
PA
386
H
86
HR
5
AVG
.253
xwOBA
.330
PPG
1.78
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2026626.261.346.478.217.3547.7%11.5%-3.8%10193.17—
2025151506.282
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

386 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
43
.330
xBA
85
.277
.352
.421
.139
.361
11.7%
9.5%
2.2%
15
1
368
2.44
—
2024104386.253.326.359.106.33013.2%9.1%4.1%501851.78—
2023128423.249.335.357.108.32210.6%9.9%0.7%802171.70—
2022150542.285.374.414.129.35710.7%11.6%-0.9%1403512.34—
202161189.242.332.436.194.36911.6%10.1%1.5%801141.87—
2020925.375.400.583.208.34416.0%4.0%12.0%10192.11—
xSLG
54
.443
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
48
89.4
Median EV
54
92.6
90th % EV
27
103.5
Barrel %
27
6.7
Hard-Hit %
44
40.9
Sweet-Spot %
56
36.2
Bat Speed
Avg
22
68.4
Median
19
69.5
90th %
28
75.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
44
28.2
Whiff %
92
13.5
K %
94
13.2
BB %
54
9.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
110
≈ 83th pctl
Chase cost
-25.1r
257 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.8r
212 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.5%
1,528 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.22
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
4+57%7+17%6+13%81415+38%13+31%29+53%30+32%25+19%16+0%7+65%17+2%43-19%57-18%60-3%59+67%24+30%10+55%22-12%48-28%64-24%71-7%41+35%23+11%9+24%21+19%36+0%43-12%34+5%19+9%111+0%6+17%18+7%14344CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000