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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Alek Thomas

Alek Thomas

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
402
H
86
HR
9
AVG
.230
xwOBA
.294
PPG
1.51
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202628100.181.222.340.159.29023.0%3.0%20.0%24401.43—
2025137470.249
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

402 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
5
.294
xBA
34
.247
.291
.369
.120
.289
26.0%
4.5%
21.5%
9
8
165
1.20
—
202435104.188.243.354.166.34516.3%6.7%9.6%33742.11—
2023137402.230.275.374.144.29421.4%4.7%16.7%9112071.51—
2022116411.231.278.344.113.28018.0%5.4%12.6%841801.55—
xSLG
10
.374
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.3
Median EV
28
91.2
90th % EV
28
104.1
Barrel %
14
5.1
Hard-Hit %
46
41.6
Sweet-Spot %
2
29.4
Bat Speed
Avg
16
67.6
Median
17
69.4
90th %
18
74.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
19
33.6
Whiff %
40
23.3
K %
47
21.4
BB %
5
4.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 24th pctl
Chase cost
-34.8r
362 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.3r
263 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
1,753 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.80
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2+44%9+0%85+0%842+44%18+42%24+26%35+21%39+44%36+30%10+13%8+55%38+12%49-27%73-27%71-10%50+44%25+50%6+47%45-18%33-37%62-30%50-23%35+73%22+33%9+25%16+38%24+20%30+9%22+22%18+33%9+0%63+0%652CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000