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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Alek Thomas

Alek Thomas

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
470
H
108
HR
9
AVG
.249
xwOBA
.289
PPG
1.20
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202628100.181.222.340.159.29023.0%3.0%20.0%24401.43—
2025137470.249
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

470 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.289
xBA
24
.238
.291
.369
.120
.289
26.0%
4.5%
21.5%
9
8
165
1.20
—
202435104.188.243.354.166.34516.3%6.7%9.6%33742.11—
2023137402.230.275.374.144.29421.4%4.7%16.7%9112071.51—
2022116411.231.278.344.113.28018.0%5.4%12.6%841801.55—
xSLG
11
.371
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.6
Median EV
23
91.3
90th % EV
45
105.3
Barrel %
31
7.8
Hard-Hit %
26
39.3
Sweet-Spot %
1
29.0
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.6
Median
34
70.8
90th %
32
75.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
14
34.5
Whiff %
28
25.9
K %
19
26.0
BB %
4
4.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 28th pctl
Chase cost
-34.9r
368 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-11.8r
231 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
52.2%
1,704 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.74
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+27%11+27%15+33%6+18%11+14%72+26%19+25%24+39%46+11%35+31%26+19%16+14%7+63%27+15%59-29%76-26%74-12%43+48%33+50%10+62%29+15%47-43%56-25%51-9%44+38%164+29%7+53%19+27%15+20%25+35%20552314CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000