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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Alex Bregman

Alex Bregman

3B·CHC
Compare
Compare
PA
724
H
163
HR
25
AVG
.262
xwOBA
.354
PPG
3.05
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666298.239.323.337.098.31417.1%9.7%7.4%521251.89—
2025122496.272
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
72
.354
xBA
64
.263
xSLG
.360
.461
.189
.340
14.1%
10.3%
3.8%
18
1
324
2.66
—
2024151637.259.316.450.191.32713.5%6.9%6.6%2634152.75—
2023178724.262.364.441.179.35412.0%12.7%-0.7%2535433.05—
2022176657.259.371.454.195.35911.7%13.2%-1.5%2325132.91—
2021112400.270.359.422.152.33813.3%11.0%2.3%1212902.59—
202057181.240.350.448.208.33414.4%13.3%1.1%601392.44—
2019181690.296.428.592.296.37712.0%17.2%-5.2%4166823.77—
2018172706.286.395.531.245.37112.0%13.6%-1.6%31106083.53—
2017178628.283.355.473.190.34115.4%8.8%6.6%19194612.59—
50
.440
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
33
88.6
Median EV
34
91.5
90th % EV
8
101.6
Barrel %
15
5.4
Hard-Hit %
24
38.2
Sweet-Spot %
65
37.4
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.8
Median
23
69.9
90th %
16
74.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
96
18.6
Whiff %
96
12.6
K %
94
12.0
BB %
88
12.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
121
≈ 98th pctl
Chase cost
-30.9r
380 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-22.5r
478 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
38.5%
2,989 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.79
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
12+14%7+0%8331+17%6+50%14-4%25+16%37+26%19+0%64+18%17+5%41-36%58-43%58-17%30+12%254+20%30-12%65-33%66-28%64+2%44+10%20+0%9+14%28+20%40+18%49+5%39+8%1252+0%9+0%13+14%14+22%933CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000