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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #59 of 61

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Alex Freeland
Alex Freeland · #59
V⁻ —VORP -9V⁺ —
Alex Freeland

Alex Freeland

2B / 3B·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
155
H
31
HR
3
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.299
PPG
1.17
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj2085.218.305.348.130.29726.9%10.3%16.6%22331.65—
202647155.233
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

155 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
17
.299
xBA
11
.220
.325
.338
.105
.299
25.8%
11.0%
14.8%
3
1
55
1.17
—
20252997.190.292.310.120.25936.1%11.3%24.8%21200.69—
xSLG
13
.351
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
21
87.3
Median EV
64
93.6
90th % EV
47
104.7
Barrel %
34
7.3
Hard-Hit %
30
38.5
Sweet-Spot %
37
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
23
68.5
Median
29
70.2
90th %
24
74.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
93
19.9
Whiff %
28
25.7
K %
20
25.8
BB %
67
11.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
112
≈ 88th pctl
Chase cost
-3.1r
32 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.3r
46 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
40.7%
263 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.05
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
221114+0%8-12%8444+29%7+21%14-17%12-20%15-27%15+11%93+50%10-33%15-24%21-30%20-18%1131+17%6+29%75+0%8+0%64212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 263