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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Alex Verdugo

Alex Verdugo

OF·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
621
H
130
HR
13
AVG
.233
xwOBA
.307
PPG
1.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202556213.239.296.289.050.30714.6%6.6%8.0%01761.36—
2024166621.233
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
12
.307
xBA
54
.252
xSLG
.296
.356
.123
.307
15.0%
7.9%
7.1%
13
3
330
1.99
—
2023143602.264.327.421.157.33215.4%7.5%7.9%1353272.29—
2022161645.279.330.404.125.33413.3%6.5%6.8%1113542.20—
2021162605.288.353.426.138.34615.9%8.4%7.5%1373942.43—
202053221.308.368.478.170.30020.4%7.7%12.7%641242.34—
2019110378.294.347.474.180.34113.0%6.9%6.1%1242392.17—
20183386.260.329.377.117.31516.3%9.3%7.0%10381.15—
20171725.174.240.304.130.33816.0%8.0%8.0%1070.41—
20
.392
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
18
87.7
Median EV
12
90.0
90th % EV
19
102.7
Barrel %
15
5.6
Hard-Hit %
13
34.9
Sweet-Spot %
16
32.4
Bat Speed
Avg
10
66.7
Median
6
67.6
90th %
14
74.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.6
Whiff %
90
13.6
K %
86
15.0
BB %
40
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 74th pctl
Chase cost
-34.2r
361 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.0r
418 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.4%
2,375 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.32
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%6+0%64+0%17+8%12+0%74+9%11+17%29+9%45+5%43+27%37+11%19+0%11+30%23-7%41-39%77-43%84-27%62+45%31+38%16+67%18+0%32-34%56-28%61-37%43+48%25+14%7+14%7+63%8+14%22+36%22+50%20+18%1132+14%7452CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000