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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #142 of 165

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Andre Pallante
Andre Pallante · #60
V⁻ —VORP -50V⁺ —
Andre Pallante

Andre Pallante

SP·STL
Compare
Compare
BF
298
K %
18.8%
BB %
8.4%
xwOBA
.306
PTS
132
PPG
10.15
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj181895.067004.354.0916.5%8.9%7.6%————1226.77
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
74
95.1
FB Spin
29
2198
Extension
2026
13
13
69.7
7
4
0
0
3.88
4.46
18.8%
8.4%
10.4%
.306
.266
75.9%
52.4%
132
10.15
20253232166.7715005.294.6515.5%8.6%6.9%.322.29862.8%59.8%1324.13
20243120123.388013.723.6018.5%9.4%9.1%.296.28369.4%61.6%2076.68
202365171.0410144.564.3114.2%9.9%4.3%.313.31371.9%77.0%1241.91
20225110112.3651103.203.8716.0%8.8%7.2%.307.30980.5%65.0%2084.08
58
6.57
Results
xwOBA
69
.306
Barrel %
76
6.6
Hard-Hit %
80
35.8
K %
31
18.8
BB %
43
8.4
Chase %
13
26.7
Whiff %
39
20.7
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
96
≈ 34th pctl
Stuff+
101
if they swing
Command+
91
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
94
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
14.1%
38 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.050
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.008 worse than avg · 76 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.033
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.004 worse than avg · 21 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 270 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
31.0%94.72266+12.5+1.66.5014.3%67.9%38.1%22.2%5.6%0.401
SliderSL
28.8%87.0

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE57°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLSIKCFS
Usage31%29%18%16%6%
MPH94.787.094.477.187.4
RHP Avg95.086.794.383.086.7
2328
+0.7
-4.8
6.61
27.8%
48.7%
26.9%
20.0%
16.0%
0.309
SinkerSI
18.5%94.42137+15.3+11.76.5412.0%34.0%10.0%30.3%7.1%0.468
Knuckle CurveKC
15.9%77.12722-16.5-4.86.5423.5%48.8%25.6%18.2%7.1%0.426
Split-FingerFS
5.9%87.41078+5.4+10.66.5114.3%25.0%6.3%25.0%0.0%0.085

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTSI · 17″FF · 21″FS · 22″SL · 24″KC · 25″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′SI · 24″FF · 23″FS · 44″SL · 41″KC · 67″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.41′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLSIKCFS-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLSIKCFS-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLSIKCFS

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.