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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #178 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Andrew McCutchen
Andrew McCutchen · #60
V⁻ —VORP -3V⁺ —
Andrew McCutchen

Andrew McCutchen

OF·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
83
H
14
HR
1
AVG
.192
xwOBA
.237
PPG
0.51
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1667.225.321.369.143.31223.8%11.8%12.0%20291.80—
20263783.192
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

83 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.237
xBA
0
.164
.280
.260
.068
.237
26.5%
10.8%
15.7%
1
0
19
0.51
—
2025137553.238.334.365.127.33921.3%12.1%9.2%1312351.72—
2024124516.232.329.410.178.32625.8%11.2%14.6%2032361.90—
2023116474.256.381.396.140.35121.1%15.8%5.3%12112522.17—
2022143580.237.318.384.147.32921.4%9.8%11.6%17103062.14—
2021150574.222.339.444.222.34323.0%14.1%8.9%2763432.29—
202059241.253.325.433.180.35519.9%9.1%10.8%1041382.34—
201963262.256.378.457.201.35521.0%16.4%4.6%1021802.86—
2018165683.254.371.423.169.35921.2%13.9%7.3%20143812.31—
2017161652.278.364.484.206.36417.8%11.2%6.6%28114402.73—
xSLG
0
.265
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
20
87.1
Median EV
72
94.5
90th % EV
24
102.8
Barrel %
23
5.8
Hard-Hit %
7
28.8
Sweet-Spot %
10
30.8
Bat Speed
Avg
26
68.5
Median
26
70.1
90th %
13
73.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
94
20.5
Whiff %
10
30.6
K %
20
26.5
BB %
67
10.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 38th pctl
Chase cost
-4.0r
30 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.7r
20 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.6%
178 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.66
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1115553334+14%7-9%11-15%134234-14%14-8%12-24%17-25%8345+56%932341211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 178