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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Andy Pages

Andy Pages

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
444
H
100
HR
13
AVG
.248
xwOBA
.325
PPG
1.79
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202669292.277.328.509.232.34719.5%6.2%13.3%1572042.96—
2025173617.272
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

444 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
35
.325
xBA
42
.246
.313
.461
.189
.315
21.2%
4.2%
17.0%
27
14
346
2.00
—
2024120444.248.308.406.158.32524.3%6.5%17.8%1312151.79—
xSLG
51
.432
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
35
88.6
Median EV
37
91.8
90th % EV
47
104.7
Barrel %
63
10.7
Hard-Hit %
37
40.1
Sweet-Spot %
94
41.8
Bat Speed
Avg
68
71.3
Median
65
72.6
90th %
56
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.7
Whiff %
49
22.2
K %
33
24.3
BB %
17
6.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 35th pctl
Chase cost
-32.5r
305 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.1r
216 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.0%
1,719 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.65
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
14+13%8+33%9551+17%6+46%13+25%20+37%27+25%20+33%12+13%8+50%10+15%27-11%55-25%65-23%47+26%39+0%15+48%23+27%45-28%65-34%64-32%37+21%29+0%12+39%18+51%39+16%50-5%41-5%19+0%73+15%13+13%15+7%14+15%13343CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000