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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Andy Pages

Andy Pages

OF·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
617
H
157
HR
27
AVG
.272
xwOBA
.315
PPG
2.00
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666271.282.333.520.238.34719.2%6.3%12.9%1472023.06—
2025173617.272
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
21
.315
xBA
53
.257
xSLG
.313
.461
.189
.315
21.2%
4.2%
17.0%
27
14
346
2.00
—
2024120444.248.308.406.158.32524.3%6.5%17.8%1312151.79—
46
.430
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
25
88.6
Median EV
16
90.4
90th % EV
33
104.4
Barrel %
37
8.4
Hard-Hit %
18
37.0
Sweet-Spot %
89
40.1
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.6
Median
55
72.3
90th %
42
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
15
33.6
Whiff %
66
20.0
K %
46
21.2
BB %
2
4.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 31th pctl
Chase cost
-46.9r
438 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.4r
298 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.4%
2,374 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.71
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
35+25%8+43%721+33%6+63%8+13%16+48%29+52%23+38%8+44%9+40%15+7%27-19%42-17%72-14%56+38%21+21%14+33%18-15%52-36%72-26%77-25%55+29%28+29%14+42%19+9%35+12%43-2%41+12%26+10%10+0%9+22%9+36%14+11%9+17%12+0%8+0%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000