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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
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    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #434 of 506

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Antonio Senzatela
Antonio Senzatela · #60
V⁻ —VORP -69V⁺ —
Antonio Senzatela

Antonio Senzatela

SP / RP·COL
Compare
Compare
BF
140
K %
21.4%
BB %
7.1%
xwOBA
.280
PTS
134
PPG
7.05
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj44149.025865.154.5815.5%7.6%7.9%————882.00
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

140 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
72
95.0
FB Spin
54
2277
2026
19
0
37.3
5
0
3
2
1.93
3.10
21.4%
7.1%
14.3%
.280
.240
79.5%
46.5%
134
7.05
20253124135.7415006.505.4011.8%7.6%4.2%.397.36167.2%44.4%-10-0.32
20243312.301006.577.0712.7%14.5%-1.8%.440.33369.1%41.0%-2-0.67
2023227.701004.707.9313.3%6.7%6.6%.457.190104.2%54.2%52.50
2022202096.338005.334.3013.0%5.6%7.4%.353.37569.5%50.8%452.25
20213030165.3411004.353.5715.6%4.8%10.8%.321.32467.7%52.3%1906.33
2020131378.363003.564.5213.5%5.9%7.6%.329.25878.0%50.8%14511.15
20192525124.71111006.715.3313.1%9.8%3.3%.366.33362.9%55.1%461.84
2018241495.366004.344.2317.6%7.9%9.7%.322.29472.9%47.2%1355.63
20173923147.0107014.714.3918.1%8.3%9.8%.328.29368.8%50.4%2155.51
Extension
25
6.22
Results
xwOBA
86
.280
Barrel %
85
6.1
Hard-Hit %
54
39.4
K %
48
21.4
BB %
70
7.1
Chase %
49
30.6
Whiff %
64
23.8
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
123
≈ 99th pctl
Stuff+
101
if they swing
Command+
120
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
106
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
9.5%
18 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.028
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.014 better than avg · 59 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.011
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.018 better than avg · 11 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 189 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
39.6%97.22318+15.2+6.36.3122.5%56.7%28.4%41.4%27.3%0.250
CutterFC
23.1%91.5

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE41°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFFCSICUCHSL
Usage40%23%12%12%7%7%
MPH97.291.595.982.490.788.9
RHP Avg95.089.894.380.286.986.7
2305
+7.9
-3.2
6.29
23.5%
43.6%
30.8%
31.8%
33.3%
0.122
SinkerSI
12.4%95.92160+6.4+14.26.360.0%66.7%19.0%28.6%0.0%0.230
CurveballCU
11.8%82.42494-4.6-6.56.1066.7%30.0%45.0%35.7%50.0%0.000
ChangeupCH
6.5%90.72263+6.7+15.36.530.0%63.6%45.5%0.0%25.0%0.000
SliderSL
6.5%88.92372+5.3-5.26.230.0%36.4%0.0%28.6%0.0%0.111

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 20″FC · 25″SL · 26″SI · 23″CH · 24″CU · 27″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 19″FC · 30″SL · 43″SI · 22″CH · 35″CU · 53″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.34′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFFCSICUCHSL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFFCSICUCHSL-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFFCSICUCHSL

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.