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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #83 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Austin Martin
Austin Martin · #60
V⁻ -14VORP 9V⁺ 14
Austin Martin

Austin Martin

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
226
H
47
HR
2
AVG
.245
xwOBA
.312
PPG
1.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj62267.256.348.354.098.32216.6%11.1%5.4%3101302.10—
202659226.245
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

226 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
28
.312
xBA
29
.241
.356
.328
.083
.312
17.7%
12.4%
5.3%
2
8
106
1.80
—
202549181.282.374.365.083.34617.1%12.2%4.9%110931.90—
202479257.253.318.352.099.30318.3%7.8%10.5%161151.46—
xSLG
6
.328
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
14
86.4
Median EV
15
89.2
90th % EV
15
101.8
Barrel %
4
2.6
Hard-Hit %
7
28.8
Sweet-Spot %
38
34.6
Bat Speed
Avg
9
66.4
Median
11
68.2
90th %
10
72.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
99
18.2
Whiff %
70
18.4
K %
67
17.7
BB %
74
12.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
123
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-1.9r
17 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.4r
44 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
33.2%
274 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.57
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
142124+0%95+36%11414-43%7-40%20-19%16-22%9+0%83+38%8-37%8-35%17-25%24-36%1152+11%9+0%7-8%12-30%1055151252CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 274