Flanker the ClankerFlanker
Rankings
Leaderboards
  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
StreamersSign inConnect league →
Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Bailey Falter

Bailey Falter

SP·KCR
Compare
Compare
BF
57
K %
10.5%
BB %
10.5%
xwOBA
.415
PTS
-35
PPG
-7.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj9113.011004.904.5417.3%7.5%9.8%————171.89
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

57 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
28
92.2
FB Spin
12
2132
2026
5
2
9.7
0
2
0
0
13.97
9.10
10.5%
10.5%
0.0%
.415
.488
61.5%
31.1%
-35
-7.00
20252725130.378004.424.8215.6%8.9%6.7%.341.25768.9%36.2%1756.48
20242929146.0810004.504.3516.4%7.6%8.8%.342.27969.8%37.5%1966.76
2023201687.339005.365.0817.3%5.8%11.5%.339.30565.4%40.4%703.50
2022251992.774004.084.7721.1%4.9%16.2%.335.28979.1%34.1%1736.92
202122133.721025.613.7224.3%4.3%20.0%.292.31560.0%37.1%622.82
Extension
97
7.23
Results
xwOBA
1
.415
Barrel %
73
6.7
Hard-Hit %
19
44.4
K %
0
10.5
BB %
16
10.5
Chase %
0
21.1
Whiff %
11
17.7
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
86
≈ 8th pctl
Stuff+
117
if they swing
Command+
75
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
113
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.8%
6 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.063
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.020 worse than avg · 15 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.016
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.013 better than avg · 9 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 68 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
4-Seam FastballFF
60.3%92.62093+18.0+4.77.3023.5%48.8%24.4%14.3%0.0%0.450
SliderSL
22.1%85.02068

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE57°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FFSLFSCU
Usage60%22%16%1%
MPH92.685.085.677.7
LHP Avg93.284.7—79.0
+4.8
-4.4
7.09
20.0%
33.3%
20.0%
20.0%
25.0%
0.165
Split-FingerFS
16.2%85.6872+7.1+3.77.2350.0%54.5%36.4%20.0%100.0%0.061
CurveballCU
1.5%77.71861-2.5-2.67.20—0.0%0.0%0.0%——

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 17″FS · 20″CU · 21″SL · 22″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 33″FS · 48″CU · 68″SL · 53″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.33′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). LHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FFSLFSCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFSLFSCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FFSLFSCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.