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Rankings
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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Ben Lively

Ben Lively

SP·CLE
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj113.000005.225.2515.5%8.5%7.0%————35.47
2025101050.722003.204.6216.2%8.4%7.8%.332.24583.7%30.6%919.10
20243029152.313100
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
3.78
4.57
18.6%
7.7%
10.9%
.315
.266
78.6%
42.6%
274
9.13
2023191288.747005.385.2020.6%6.5%14.1%.341.29774.0%39.1%1035.42
2019101.0000027.0014.1016.7%0.0%16.7%.609.5000.0%20.0%-5-5.00
201812639.313004.814.1218.4%10.2%8.2%.385.35574.1%35.0%373.08
2017151588.747004.264.9213.9%6.4%7.5%.330.28074.2%38.9%1107.33