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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Blake Perkins

Blake Perkins

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
434
H
92
HR
6
AVG
.240
xwOBA
.281
PPG
1.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20263383.111.220.153.042.25722.9%10.8%12.1%03210.64—
202553171.226
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

434 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
3
.281
xBA
2
.209
.298
.348
.122
.280
27.5%
8.8%
18.7%
3
7
76
1.43
—
2024125434.240.320.332.092.28124.9%9.7%15.2%6262061.65—
202354168.217.325.350.133.28027.4%13.7%13.7%45821.52—
xSLG
2
.313
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
10
86.2
Median EV
28
91.1
90th % EV
7
100.7
Barrel %
10
3.9
Hard-Hit %
27
37.7
Sweet-Spot %
27
33.8
Bat Speed
Avg
13
67.2
Median
15
69.0
90th %
8
72.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.7
Whiff %
35
24.6
K %
26
24.9
BB %
63
9.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 74th pctl
Chase cost
-23.4r
240 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.4r
305 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.7%
1,713 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+0%9+0%10+10%105+0%63+23%13+20%25+0%38-10%30+17%29+25%12+0%9+37%19-15%48-35%57-23%69-30%54+32%37+0%9+52%33-11%38-40%65-33%61-24%46+50%24+14%7+30%10+52%21+26%27-23%31+16%19+11%9+0%615+0%6+0%9+0%943CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000