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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Blake Sabol

Blake Sabol

C·TBR
Compare
Compare
PA
344
H
73
HR
13
AVG
.235
xwOBA
.281
PPG
1.13
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025718.125.176.188.063.20938.9%5.6%33.3%0000.00—
20241738.313
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

344 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.281
xBA
0
.196
.421
.375
.062
.341
23.7%
13.2%
10.5%
0
0
17
1.00
—
2023114344.235.303.394.159.28134.0%7.0%27.0%1331291.13—
xSLG
10
.373
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
86.4
Median EV
18
90.6
90th % EV
31
104.2
Barrel %
71
11.2
Hard-Hit %
25
38.6
Sweet-Spot %
8
31.5
Bat Speed
Avg
42
70.0
Median
38
71.1
90th %
28
75.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
50
27.7
Whiff %
0
34.2
K %
0
34.0
BB %
30
7.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 68th pctl
Chase cost
-21.1r
224 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.9r
149 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.7%
1,351 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.37
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
43+25%8+23%13+0%7+0%62+56%9+41%29+20%40+8%51+12%34+18%174+7%29+7%54-37%73-17%71-15%60+52%27+40%10+35%34+3%37-21%57-8%50-16%31+50%20+33%6+20%10+30%20+15%20+4%25+50%14+83%12254+33%65231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000