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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #174 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Blaze Alexander
Blaze Alexander · #60
V⁻ -35VORP -23V⁺ -6
Blaze Alexander

Blaze Alexander

2B / 3B / OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
156
H
39
HR
2
AVG
.279
xwOBA
.350
PPG
1.52
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj46200.230.304.358.128.30029.6%8.1%21.6%45691.50—
202648156.279
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

156 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
61
.350
xBA
98
.303
.336
.393
.114
.350
24.4%
6.4%
18.0%
2
6
73
1.52
—
202568266.230.324.383.153.30432.3%8.3%24.0%72951.40—
202459185.247.321.343.096.26226.5%8.1%18.4%33881.49—
xSLG
57
.437
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
49
89.8
Median EV
80
95.2
90th % EV
14
101.3
Barrel %
15
4.8
Hard-Hit %
77
47.6
Sweet-Spot %
93
42.9
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.4
Median
57
72.5
90th %
57
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
49
29.4
Whiff %
28
25.7
K %
26
24.4
BB %
14
6.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 25th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
49 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
16 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
60.4%
212 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.81
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
112224+46%132234-14%7-12%8-19%16-20%1054+100%11+27%11-5%19-8%12-17%12323+60%10+42%12+0%723121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 212