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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. C peers

Rank #29 of 66

Each bar is one C, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-300-200-1000+100Bo Naylor
Bo Naylor · #29
V⁻ —VORP -306V⁺ —
Bo Naylor

Bo Naylor

C·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
90
H
12
HR
2
AVG
.143
xwOBA
.290
PPG
0.59
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1248.214.295.394.181.30924.7%10.3%14.4%20211.75—
20262790.143
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

90 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
7
.290
xBA
8
.215
.200
.238
.095
.290
23.3%
6.7%
16.6%
2
0
16
0.59
—
2025125414.195.286.379.184.29323.9%10.9%13.0%1411831.46—
2024130391.199.264.348.149.27031.2%7.4%23.8%1361260.97—
202367231.236.339.467.231.31322.9%13.0%9.9%1151412.10—
202268.000.000.000.000.08962.5%0.0%62.5%00-5-0.83—
xSLG
34
.399
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
46
89.6
Median EV
84
95.6
90th % EV
27
103.0
Barrel %
63
11.1
Hard-Hit %
43
41.3
Sweet-Spot %
16
31.7
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.4
Median
38
71.0
90th %
33
75.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
72
25.6
Whiff %
91
13.1
K %
29
23.3
BB %
15
6.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 68th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
39 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.5r
34 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.2%
278 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
22112+0%8+10%10+0%12+33%642+20%10+14%14-25%16-44%18-22%1851+33%6+17%12-17%18-7%14-18%1741+44%9+30%105+10%103111133CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 278