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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bo Naylor

Bo Naylor

C·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
231
H
47
HR
11
AVG
.236
xwOBA
.313
PPG
2.10
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262790.143.200.238.095.29023.3%6.7%16.6%20160.59—
2025125414.195
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

231 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
16
.313
xBA
1
.212
.286
.379
.184
.293
23.9%
10.9%
13.0%
14
1
183
1.46
—
2024130391.199.264.348.149.27031.2%7.4%23.8%1361260.97—
202367231.236.339.467.231.31322.9%13.0%9.9%1151412.10—
202268.000.000.000.000.08962.5%0.0%62.5%00-5-0.83—
xSLG
12
.383
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
19
87.7
Median EV
9
89.3
90th % EV
10
101.9
Barrel %
43
8.2
Hard-Hit %
8
30.8
Sweet-Spot %
80
38.4
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.5
Median
56
71.9
90th %
58
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
76
23.9
Whiff %
68
18.9
K %
30
22.9
BB %
90
13.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 50th pctl
Chase cost
-19.4r
164 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.2r
132 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.5%
1,011 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.54
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
33+13%8+11%9+0%934+20%10+28%29+0%42-3%37+14%28+23%22+0%8+23%31-12%56-30%56-37%81-24%50+52%23+18%17+35%34-4%28-13%53-20%54+2%41+61%28+33%6+41%17+47%15+35%17+11%28+89%9+20%1023+11%93532CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000