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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bo Naylor

Bo Naylor

C·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
391
H
71
HR
13
AVG
.199
xwOBA
.270
PPG
0.97
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262790.143.200.238.095.29023.3%6.7%16.6%20160.59—
2025125414.195
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

391 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
1
.270
xBA
0
.195
.286
.379
.184
.293
23.9%
10.9%
13.0%
14
1
183
1.46
—
2024130391.199.264.348.149.27031.2%7.4%23.8%1361260.97—
202367231.236.339.467.231.31322.9%13.0%9.9%1151412.10—
202268.000.000.000.000.08962.5%0.0%62.5%00-5-0.83—
xSLG
2
.334
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
27
88.3
Median EV
30
91.3
90th % EV
22
103.0
Barrel %
44
8.1
Hard-Hit %
27
37.7
Sweet-Spot %
18
33.1
Bat Speed
Avg
23
68.5
Median
28
70.5
90th %
23
74.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
51
27.2
Whiff %
26
26.4
K %
2
31.2
BB %
35
7.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 51th pctl
Chase cost
-28.5r
270 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.1r
243 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.8%
1,647 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.52
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+14%7+0%7+9%11+8%12+11%9+0%61+8%13+11%27+0%52+3%38+4%27+8%13+0%8+39%33-19%64-38%74-23%64-15%33+65%20+27%11+45%33-3%34-33%60-30%53+3%40+59%22+22%9+36%14+45%20+37%35+26%23+50%1222455441CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000