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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bo Naylor

Bo Naylor

C·CLE
Compare
Compare
PA
414
H
70
HR
14
AVG
.195
xwOBA
.293
PPG
1.46
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20262790.143.200.238.095.29023.3%6.7%16.6%20160.59—
2025125414.195
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

414 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.293
xBA
0
.207
.286
.379
.184
.293
23.9%
10.9%
13.0%
14
1
183
1.46
—
2024130391.199.264.348.149.27031.2%7.4%23.8%1361260.97—
202367231.236.339.467.231.31322.9%13.0%9.9%1151412.10—
202268.000.000.000.000.08962.5%0.0%62.5%00-5-0.83—
xSLG
12
.380
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
23
88.4
Median EV
24
91.7
90th % EV
35
104.5
Barrel %
50
9.7
Hard-Hit %
20
38.3
Sweet-Spot %
75
38.3
Bat Speed
Avg
45
70.2
Median
52
72.1
90th %
44
76.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
61
25.5
Whiff %
64
20.4
K %
30
23.9
BB %
74
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-27.7r
286 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.5r
248 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.4%
1,703 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.42
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+29%7+18%11+25%8+0%14+0%112+44%9+47%32+28%36+8%39-4%27+18%11+0%8+22%23-10%62-46%71-28%71-33%60+41%27+11%9+33%24-12%48-32%60-17%48-9%43+33%12+0%6+50%8+42%31+44%18+43%21+19%165212+33%944CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000