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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Bobby Witt Jr.

Bobby Witt Jr.

SS·KCR
Compare
Compare
PA
710
H
211
HR
32
AVG
.331
xwOBA
.413
PPG
3.55
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202670312.278.355.444.166.39117.9%10.3%7.6%9241862.66—
2025162687.295
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
95
.413
xBA
95
.303
xSLG
.354
.501
.206
.370
18.2%
7.1%
11.1%
23
38
479
2.96
—
2024172710.331.393.587.256.41314.9%8.0%6.9%32326113.55—
2023162694.276.323.495.219.36817.4%5.8%11.6%30494913.03—
2022161634.253.296.427.174.32021.3%4.7%16.6%20323882.41—
94
.580
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
90
92.7
Median EV
84
94.4
90th % EV
93
109.4
Barrel %
90
14.3
Hard-Hit %
82
48.3
Sweet-Spot %
69
37.0
Bat Speed
Avg
86
73.2
Median
83
74.3
90th %
83
79.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
22
32.1
Whiff %
68
19.3
K %
88
14.9
BB %
44
8.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-53.0r
536 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.2r
292 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.2%
2,600 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.58
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
222333+57%7+33%6+10%21+27%11+41%17+25%12+0%6+55%29-15%13-15%27-23%47-5%44+63%27+40%10+38%26+10%42-18%77-27%67-15%46+66%32+44%18+21%29+49%37+10%49+17%47+25%28+43%23+17%6+17%12+27%22+6%18+40%10+11%923CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000