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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Rank #161 of 164

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Brady Singer
Brady Singer · #60
V⁻ —VORP -70V⁺ —
Brady Singer

Brady Singer

SP·CIN
Compare
Compare
BF
259
K %
16.2%
BB %
7.3%
xwOBA
.382
PTS
22
PPG
1.83
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj191998.058004.674.3420.1%7.5%12.6%————1316.90
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
10
90.6
FB Spin
72
2349
Extension
2026
12
12
55.0
2
6
0
0
5.89
6.79
16.2%
7.3%
8.9%
.382
.322
77.6%
41.2%
22
1.83
20253333175.31412004.003.9322.8%8.4%14.4%.320.28973.3%39.7%3279.91
20243534190.71013003.823.7622.3%7.1%15.2%.336.30676.2%48.3%3339.51
20233131167.7811005.373.9818.9%7.0%11.9%.339.33165.5%50.2%1916.16
20223026160.7105013.363.6724.1%5.6%18.5%.310.29778.3%49.4%35811.93
20212828133.3510004.733.8922.4%9.0%13.4%.328.34468.3%50.9%1746.21
2020121264.345004.063.9923.2%8.7%14.5%.301.26072.9%53.7%1169.67
83
6.79
Results
xwOBA
3
.382
Barrel %
6
12.4
Hard-Hit %
26
43.3
K %
14
16.2
BB %
62
7.3
Chase %
14
26.9
Whiff %
36
20.6
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
102
≈ 57th pctl
Stuff+
88
if they swing
Command+
109
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
91
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
12.1%
47 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.041
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.002 better than avg · 105 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.014
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.015 better than avg · 30 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 387 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
SinkerSI
53.4%91.02341+10.0+16.06.8311.3%58.2%31.5%30.4%16.3%0.379
SliderSL
25.2%82.2

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE25°100 PITCHSAMPLE
SISLSTFCFF
Usage53%25%12%5%5%
MPH91.082.280.686.890.1
RHP Avg94.386.783.389.895.0
2410
-2.1
-5.2
6.72
13.2%
48.7%
23.1%
30.0%
18.2%
0.279
SweeperST
12.3%80.62385+3.5-8.86.7146.7%34.2%31.6%20.0%11.1%0.513
CutterFC
4.5%86.82330+7.8-1.96.7620.0%14.3%7.1%25.0%0.0%0.739
4-Seam FastballFF
4.5%90.12437+15.3+7.36.7820.0%28.6%7.1%10.0%33.3%0.299

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 12″FC · 17″SI · 16″ST · 21″SL · 22″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 37″FC · 45″SI · 34″ST · 59″SL · 54″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.05′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
SISLSTFCFF-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
SISLSTFCFF-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
SISLSTFCFF

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.