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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Belt

Brandon Belt

H·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
405
H
86
HR
19
AVG
.253
xwOBA
.335
PPG
1.65
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2023109405.253.370.488.235.33534.8%15.1%19.7%1901801.65—
202280298.213
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

405 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.335
xBA
0
.206
.327
.350
.137
.332
27.2%
12.4%
14.8%
8
1
96
1.20
—
2021101381.274.379.597.323.37527.0%12.6%14.4%2932782.75—
202048179.309.425.591.282.42420.1%16.8%3.3%901372.85—
2019161616.234.342.403.169.35020.6%13.5%7.1%1743272.03—
2018119456.253.344.414.161.35723.5%10.7%12.8%1442251.89—
2017113454.239.353.465.226.38722.9%14.5%8.4%1832752.43—
2016172656.274.396.473.199.38722.6%15.9%6.7%1704462.59—
2015150557.280.358.477.197.37726.4%10.1%16.3%1893212.14—
xSLG
44
.433
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
87.3
Median EV
16
90.1
90th % EV
58
105.7
Barrel %
89
15.0
Hard-Hit %
36
40.0
Sweet-Spot %
99
46.0
Bat Speed
Avg
59
70.8
Median
62
72.4
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
98
17.9
Whiff %
12
29.3
K %
0
34.8
BB %
97
15.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
117
≈ 95th pctl
Chase cost
-21.8r
225 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.4r
241 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.6%
1,879 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.92
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
253+0%65+0%7+0%64+33%24-17%23+0%42+2%44-3%35+0%15+41%17+3%31-32%53-26%72-27%75+8%51+0%16+70%23-6%32-16%57-10%51-4%52+23%40+0%15+29%7+33%18+15%26+17%23+21%14+18%11342+0%62-17%61CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000