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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #206 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Brandon Lockridge
Brandon Lockridge · #60
V⁻ —VORP -6V⁺ —
Brandon Lockridge

Brandon Lockridge

OF·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
97
H
25
HR
0
AVG
.291
xwOBA
.276
PPG
1.43
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj1565.234.301.327.093.28625.6%8.0%17.6%13231.51—
20262897.291
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

97 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
4
.276
xBA
17
.226
.365
.337
.046
.276
25.8%
10.3%
15.5%
0
5
40
1.43
—
202557148.231.280.299.068.26724.3%5.4%18.9%09500.88—
2024812.167.167.417.250.18633.3%0.0%33.3%1010.13—
xSLG
0
.276
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
82.5
Median EV
4
86.4
90th % EV
51
105.2
Barrel %
3
1.6
Hard-Hit %
14
32.8
Sweet-Spot %
0
21.3
Bat Speed
Avg
40
69.7
Median
58
72.8
90th %
72
78.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
45
29.8
Whiff %
43
22.8
K %
20
25.8
BB %
62
10.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 89th pctl
Chase cost
-3.9r
49 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-1.5r
44 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.6%
267 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.01
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121434+29%75+43%75523+14%7-29%21-12%17-24%2152+7%14-29%17-35%17-40%10+57%724+44%9+38%16-17%6+17%6+17%612231CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 267