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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #11 of 45

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe · #11
V⁻ -50VORP 19V⁺ -7
Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

2B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
262
H
58
HR
15
AVG
.252
xwOBA
.359
PPG
2.70
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj81352.248.323.463.215.34724.9%9.4%15.5%1721902.35—
202661262.252
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
67
.359
xBA
45
.254
xSLG
.338
.522
.270
.359
25.2%
10.7%
14.5%
15
0
165
2.70
—
2025138556.255.309.475.220.33726.8%6.8%20.0%3133032.20—
2024111425.244.312.473.229.34726.4%7.8%18.6%2152292.06—
2023112437.230.329.442.212.33927.2%11.4%15.8%2172512.24—
202276267.220.308.381.161.32022.8%10.1%12.7%811421.87—
2021160616.246.341.522.276.36027.1%11.0%16.1%3973842.40—
202076224.269.365.554.285.38125.9%11.2%14.7%1431682.21—
201992328.269.336.512.243.33934.5%7.6%26.9%1751791.95—
201842149.231.324.446.215.33125.5%10.7%14.8%62811.93—
80
.492
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
90.1
Median EV
65
93.8
90th % EV
41
104.3
Barrel %
74
12.7
Hard-Hit %
69
45.8
Sweet-Spot %
73
38.6
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.4
Median
62
73.0
90th %
54
77.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
33.1
Whiff %
7
32.2
K %
23
25.2
BB %
67
10.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
93
≈ 25th pctl
Chase cost
-8.1r
74 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.3r
52 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.4%
368 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.81
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1124232+63%8+45%11+13%15-16%19+19%16+17%63+23%13+17%18-34%32-34%35-33%12+38%83+36%14+35%17-10%20-32%19-12%1753+29%754+29%7211211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 368