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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

2B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
437
H
87
HR
21
AVG
.230
xwOBA
.339
PPG
2.24
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661262.252.338.522.270.35925.2%10.7%14.5%1501652.70—
2025138556.255
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

437 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
54
.339
xBA
7
.228
.309
.475
.220
.337
26.8%
6.8%
20.0%
31
3
303
2.20
—
2024111425.244.312.473.229.34726.4%7.8%18.6%2152292.06—
2023112437.230.329.442.212.33927.2%11.4%15.8%2172512.24—
202276267.220.308.381.161.32022.8%10.1%12.7%811421.87—
2021160616.246.341.522.276.36027.1%11.0%16.1%3973842.40—
202076224.269.365.554.285.38125.9%11.2%14.7%1431682.21—
201992328.269.336.512.243.33934.5%7.6%26.9%1751791.95—
201842149.231.324.446.215.33125.5%10.7%14.8%62811.93—
xSLG
54
.446
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
79
91.4
Median EV
74
94.2
90th % EV
58
105.6
Barrel %
66
10.7
Hard-Hit %
75
47.5
Sweet-Spot %
25
33.7
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.2
Median
67
72.7
90th %
63
77.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
35
30.0
Whiff %
11
29.5
K %
14
27.2
BB %
81
11.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 56th pctl
Chase cost
-34.6r
347 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.5r
167 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
51.7%
1,741 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.48
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+17%6+10%10+9%11+0%8+0%12+0%102+24%25+17%29+11%46+9%53+7%30+6%17+0%6+38%24+11%55-12%82-21%67-16%50+39%33+9%11+59%34+3%37-21%48-17%53-16%25+43%14+33%6+64%14+58%19+17%18+22%18+82%11+0%6134123CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000