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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

2B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
425
H
94
HR
21
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.347
PPG
2.06
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664279.249.336.531.282.35924.7%10.8%13.9%1701822.84—
2025138556.255
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

425 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
71
.347
xBA
50
.250
.309
.475
.220
.337
26.8%
6.8%
20.0%
31
3
303
2.20
—
2024111425.244.312.473.229.34726.4%7.8%18.6%2152292.06—
2023112437.230.329.442.212.33927.2%11.4%15.8%2172512.24—
202276267.220.308.381.161.32022.8%10.1%12.7%811421.87—
2021160616.246.341.522.276.36027.1%11.0%16.1%3973842.40—
202076224.269.365.554.285.38125.9%11.2%14.7%1431682.21—
201992328.269.336.512.243.33934.5%7.6%26.9%1751791.95—
201842149.231.324.446.215.33125.5%10.7%14.8%62811.93—
xSLG
86
.490
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
89.8
Median EV
54
92.6
90th % EV
65
106.0
Barrel %
77
12.4
Hard-Hit %
64
44.7
Sweet-Spot %
94
41.8
Bat Speed
Avg
62
71.0
Median
77
73.4
90th %
65
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
30.8
Whiff %
8
30.3
K %
15
26.4
BB %
39
7.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-33.8r
360 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.1r
134 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.3%
1,660 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+11%9+0%12+6%16+0%1534+24%17+59%27+20%56+30%43+20%30+10%20+0%7+50%28+19%52-14%74-17%69+11%56+32%28+0%17+79%29+0%48-15%59-9%47+14%28+71%145+44%27+65%17+44%16+28%18+57%7543312CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000