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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

2B·PIT
Compare
Compare
PA
556
H
130
HR
31
AVG
.255
xwOBA
.337
PPG
2.20
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202661262.252.338.522.270.35925.2%10.7%14.5%1501652.70—
2025138556.255
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.337
xBA
49
.254
xSLG
.309
.475
.220
.337
26.8%
6.8%
20.0%
31
3
303
2.20
—
2024111425.244.312.473.229.34726.4%7.8%18.6%2152292.06—
2023112437.230.329.442.212.33927.2%11.4%15.8%2172512.24—
202276267.220.308.381.161.32022.8%10.1%12.7%811421.87—
2021160616.246.341.522.276.36027.1%11.0%16.1%3973842.40—
202076224.269.365.554.285.38125.9%11.2%14.7%1431682.21—
201992328.269.336.512.243.33934.5%7.6%26.9%1751791.95—
201842149.231.324.446.215.33125.5%10.7%14.8%62811.93—
73
.476
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
73
91.1
Median EV
56
93.5
90th % EV
61
106.4
Barrel %
74
12.9
Hard-Hit %
60
46.4
Sweet-Spot %
82
39.3
Bat Speed
Avg
72
71.8
Median
72
73.4
90th %
80
78.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
23
31.8
Whiff %
4
30.9
K %
10
26.8
BB %
27
6.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 72th pctl
Chase cost
-40.1r
450 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.9r
190 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
55.3%
2,163 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.31
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+11%9+22%9+33%6+11%18+0%10+0%84+32%22+52%29+19%43+29%41+20%46+5%225+56%36+8%49-34%64-13%77-9%54+61%28+11%9+47%17+13%45-15%53-15%59-4%28+63%164+64%11+63%16+31%16+79%14+36%14+38%833421CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000