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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh

OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
473
H
112
HR
12
AVG
.277
xwOBA
.325
PPG
1.68
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662232.333.371.514.181.34622.8%4.7%18.1%851402.26—
2025134427.278
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

473 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
33
.325
xBA
7
.228
.344
.441
.163
.332
25.8%
8.9%
16.9%
11
7
205
1.53
—
2024142478.248.331.417.169.32832.2%10.5%21.7%16192121.49—
2023149473.277.374.457.180.32530.4%12.5%17.9%12112501.68—
2022164461.245.297.384.139.29334.3%6.1%28.2%11151851.13—
202168260.254.318.356.102.32635.0%7.7%27.3%26701.03—
xSLG
16
.392
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
65
90.4
Median EV
79
94.5
90th % EV
28
104.1
Barrel %
52
9.1
Hard-Hit %
80
48.7
Sweet-Spot %
86
39.2
Bat Speed
Avg
46
70.2
Median
48
71.5
90th %
28
75.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
68
25.4
Whiff %
32
24.7
K %
4
30.4
BB %
87
12.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
94
≈ 29th pctl
Chase cost
-39.8r
351 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-21.4r
361 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.6%
2,231 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.74
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
5+43%7+11%18+0%13+0%12+0%64+23%13+25%28+19%37-6%53+35%26+0%154+69%26-10%49-43%74-39%75+0%48+11%19+7%15+59%22-15%40-30%46-34%62-17%42+21%19+8%12+44%16+38%16-24%17+20%20+13%16+20%10+0%6432441CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000