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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh

OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
478
H
104
HR
16
AVG
.248
xwOBA
.328
PPG
1.49
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664244.322.361.498.176.33524.2%4.9%19.3%851382.16—
2025134427.278
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

478 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
41
.328
xBA
15
.233
.344
.441
.163
.332
25.8%
8.9%
16.9%
11
7
205
1.53
—
2024142478.248.331.417.169.32832.2%10.5%21.7%16192121.49—
2023149473.277.374.457.180.32530.4%12.5%17.9%12112501.68—
2022164461.245.297.384.139.29334.3%6.1%28.2%11151851.13—
202168260.254.318.356.102.32635.0%7.7%27.3%26701.03—
xSLG
48
.428
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
70
90.9
Median EV
84
94.4
90th % EV
53
105.2
Barrel %
59
10.0
Hard-Hit %
74
47.4
Sweet-Spot %
99
44.1
Bat Speed
Avg
52
70.3
Median
54
71.6
90th %
33
75.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
80
23.5
Whiff %
32
25.3
K %
1
32.2
BB %
73
10.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
95
≈ 30th pctl
Chase cost
-35.3r
314 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-19.4r
317 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
41.3%
2,030 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.69
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
12+17%6+11%9+0%1134+29%14+21%24+26%23+3%38+13%38+4%28+0%7+35%23+0%45-36%70-38%79-34%47+34%38+0%11+43%23+12%56-20%46-28%57-11%55+36%224+37%19+46%13+21%19+5%22+21%19+17%6+17%632+33%632CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000