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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh

OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
427
H
106
HR
11
AVG
.278
xwOBA
.332
PPG
1.53
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202662232.333.371.514.181.34622.8%4.7%18.1%851402.26—
2025134427.278
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

427 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.332
xBA
58
.259
.344
.441
.163
.332
25.8%
8.9%
16.9%
11
7
205
1.53
—
2024142478.248.331.417.169.32832.2%10.5%21.7%16192121.49—
2023149473.277.374.457.180.32530.4%12.5%17.9%12112501.68—
2022164461.245.297.384.139.29334.3%6.1%28.2%11151851.13—
202168260.254.318.356.102.32635.0%7.7%27.3%26701.03—
xSLG
45
.427
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
56
90.4
Median EV
73
94.1
90th % EV
23
103.7
Barrel %
36
8.3
Hard-Hit %
60
46.4
Sweet-Spot %
90
40.2
Bat Speed
Avg
39
69.8
Median
38
71.2
90th %
30
75.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
39
28.8
Whiff %
55
21.7
K %
21
25.8
BB %
53
8.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 21th pctl
Chase cost
-33.5r
317 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.4r
249 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.3%
1,699 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.82
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+25%8+25%12+0%10553+36%14+15%26+5%37+9%44+26%35+7%14+0%6+56%27-12%56-24%72-31%67-12%51+55%38+0%14+53%19+10%40-31%54-16%63-22%41+55%20+11%9+50%10+43%14+0%17+25%24+38%16+0%813+17%6+17%64412CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000