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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #78 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Brandon Marsh
Brandon Marsh · #60
V⁻ -46VORP -1V⁺ 9
Brandon Marsh

Brandon Marsh

OF·PHI
Compare
Compare
PA
244
H
73
HR
8
AVG
.322
xwOBA
.335
PPG
2.16
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj80346.262.332.417.155.33426.5%9.2%17.2%971591.98—
202664244.322
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
50
.335
xBA
89
.290
xSLG
.361
.498
.176
.335
24.2%
4.9%
19.3%
8
5
138
2.16
—
2025134427.278.344.441.163.33225.8%8.9%16.9%1172051.53—
2024142478.248.331.417.169.32832.2%10.5%21.7%16192121.49—
2023149473.277.374.457.180.32530.4%12.5%17.9%12112501.68—
2022164461.245.297.384.139.29334.3%6.1%28.2%11151851.13—
202168260.254.318.356.102.32635.0%7.7%27.3%26701.03—
62
.446
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
50
89.7
Median EV
53
92.8
90th % EV
43
104.4
Barrel %
38
7.6
Hard-Hit %
75
46.8
Sweet-Spot %
99
48.0
Bat Speed
Avg
45
70.2
Median
39
71.1
90th %
35
75.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
10
37.6
Whiff %
50
21.2
K %
26
24.2
BB %
8
4.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 42th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
55 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.5r
41 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.5%
279 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.61
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
232+50%6+33%9+42%12+13%15+14%733+50%8+27%15-21%29-41%22-43%14+29%715+20%10-43%14-24%17-37%8+55%11+0%7+67%6+50%85521122CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 279