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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo

OF·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
684
H
162
HR
24
AVG
.273
xwOBA
.352
PPG
2.45
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664273.249.332.398.149.37620.9%8.8%12.1%721211.89—
2025159652.262
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
70
.352
xBA
48
.256
xSLG
.328
.436
.174
.322
21.6%
7.7%
13.9%
25
13
379
2.38
—
2024168666.223.327.397.174.33923.7%11.6%12.1%23153842.29—
2023154684.273.364.465.192.35221.3%10.8%10.5%2433772.45—
2022159673.274.369.433.159.33717.2%10.5%6.7%1634032.53—
202197387.291.400.436.145.34620.4%14.0%6.4%852152.22—
202053226.278.403.481.203.35819.0%14.6%4.4%821412.66—
201972254.221.380.407.186.33628.0%18.1%9.9%831472.04—
2018142539.261.401.478.217.35226.0%14.8%11.2%1793082.17—
201768215.260.382.418.158.35627.9%15.3%12.6%52981.44—
57
.455
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
81
91.6
Median EV
79
94.5
90th % EV
50
105.2
Barrel %
53
9.5
Hard-Hit %
75
47.9
Sweet-Spot %
37
34.6
Bat Speed
Avg
64
71.1
Median
64
72.5
90th %
56
76.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
91
19.9
Whiff %
66
19.3
K %
47
21.3
BB %
76
10.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-33.4r
342 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-25.3r
474 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.4%
2,871 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.05
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
3+0%7+11%9+0%11+0%724+8%12+7%29+6%34+0%29+6%32+0%13+14%7+26%19+2%53-51%81-39%77-15%46+31%26+0%11+21%14+2%45-38%53-21%63-13%70+4%23+17%12-9%11+18%17+9%35+13%32+36%145211+13%8321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000