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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brandon Nimmo

Brandon Nimmo

OF·TEX
Compare
Compare
PA
666
H
128
HR
23
AVG
.223
xwOBA
.339
PPG
2.29
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667291.255.332.402.147.37321.0%8.2%12.8%721261.88—
2025159652.262
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
59
.339
xBA
26
.239
xSLG
.328
.436
.174
.322
21.6%
7.7%
13.9%
25
13
379
2.38
—
2024168666.223.327.397.174.33923.7%11.6%12.1%23153842.29—
2023154684.273.364.465.192.35221.3%10.8%10.5%2433772.45—
2022159673.274.369.433.159.33717.2%10.5%6.7%1634032.53—
202197387.291.400.436.145.34620.4%14.0%6.4%852152.22—
202053226.278.403.481.203.35819.0%14.6%4.4%821412.66—
201972254.221.380.407.186.33628.0%18.1%9.9%831472.04—
2018142539.261.401.478.217.35226.0%14.8%11.2%1793082.17—
201768215.260.382.418.158.35627.9%15.3%12.6%52981.44—
32
.411
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
83
91.9
Median EV
80
94.3
90th % EV
56
105.4
Barrel %
50
9.1
Hard-Hit %
74
47.4
Sweet-Spot %
43
35.3
Bat Speed
Avg
69
71.7
Median
69
72.8
90th %
72
78.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
76
24.2
Whiff %
54
21.3
K %
35
23.7
BB %
90
11.6
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
106
≈ 73th pctl
Chase cost
-42.0r
413 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-23.6r
400 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.8%
2,806 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.34
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+10%10+0%6+0%8+0%653+30%10+42%26+15%33+17%46+13%24+10%205+32%19+2%44-25%53-30%66-29%49+22%27+15%13+36%22+5%39-25%55-13%71-25%56+36%25+18%11+14%14+31%13+12%33+21%28+32%22+9%1143+0%111+25%8+0%641CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000