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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 2B peers

Rank #14 of 45

Each bar is one 2B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-200-1000+100Brendan Donovan
Brendan Donovan · #14
V⁻ -4VORP 15V⁺ 17
Brendan Donovan

Brendan Donovan

2B / 3B·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
101
H
23
HR
3
AVG
.274
xwOBA
.343
PPG
2.28
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj52223.266.346.401.135.33614.2%9.4%4.8%521232.37—
202625101.274
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

101 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
55
.343
xBA
51
.257
.390
.452
.178
.343
14.9%
10.9%
4.0%
3
1
57
2.28
—
2025123517.286.354.420.134.34913.0%8.1%4.9%1033022.46—
2024158652.278.345.417.139.34112.4%7.2%5.2%1463742.37—
202398372.284.365.421.137.35814.2%8.9%5.3%1152152.19—
2022134468.281.396.379.098.34415.0%12.8%2.2%522772.07—
xSLG
22
.375
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
11
85.9
Median EV
12
88.4
90th % EV
4
99.2
Barrel %
14
4.3
Hard-Hit %
16
32.9
Sweet-Spot %
73
38.6
Bat Speed
Avg
10
66.7
Median
13
68.4
90th %
7
71.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
75
25.3
Whiff %
74
17.1
K %
82
14.9
BB %
67
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 83th pctl
Chase cost
-4.8r
41 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.1r
47 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.1%
320 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.14
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1225412+14%7+27%15+13%15-17%654+23%13+24%17-39%23-19%16-15%13+31%132+43%7-12%8-40%20-33%21-36%1441+29%7+33%9-17%12+9%1122112211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 320