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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brendan Donovan

Brendan Donovan

2B / 3B·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
652
H
163
HR
14
AVG
.278
xwOBA
.341
PPG
2.37
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202625101.274.390.452.178.34314.9%10.9%4.0%31572.28—
2025123517.286
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
61
.341
xBA
85
.278
xSLG
.354
.420
.134
.349
13.0%
8.1%
4.9%
10
3
302
2.46
—
2024158652.278.345.417.139.34112.4%7.2%5.2%1463742.37—
202398372.284.365.421.137.35814.2%8.9%5.3%1152152.19—
2022134468.281.396.379.098.34415.0%12.8%2.2%522772.07—
52
.436
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
27
88.3
Median EV
23
90.8
90th % EV
17
102.5
Barrel %
15
5.5
Hard-Hit %
26
37.6
Sweet-Spot %
77
38.4
Bat Speed
Avg
20
68.2
Median
15
69.1
90th %
15
74.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
81
23.2
Whiff %
92
13.4
K %
95
12.4
BB %
31
7.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
110
≈ 84th pctl
Chase cost
-34.6r
371 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.9r
402 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.0%
2,509 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.22
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+11%9+0%12+0%10+0%852+33%15+17%23+10%48+9%35+0%25+0%13+0%10+36%11+6%51-33%58-35%81-28%57+25%32+8%12+56%18+3%39-23%64-16%76-19%53+37%275+27%11+44%18+0%22+18%28+38%214234+0%64422CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000