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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Brendan Donovan

Brendan Donovan

2B / 3B·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
517
H
132
HR
10
AVG
.286
xwOBA
.349
PPG
2.46
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202625101.274.390.452.178.34314.9%10.9%4.0%31572.28—
2025123517.286
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
71
.349
xBA
93
.283
xSLG
.354
.420
.134
.349
13.0%
8.1%
4.9%
10
3
302
2.46
—
2024158652.278.345.417.139.34112.4%7.2%5.2%1463742.37—
202398372.284.365.421.137.35814.2%8.9%5.3%1152152.19—
2022134468.281.396.379.098.34415.0%12.8%2.2%522772.07—
59
.457
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
32
89.1
Median EV
42
92.7
90th % EV
20
103.6
Barrel %
39
8.8
Hard-Hit %
29
40.9
Sweet-Spot %
93
41.1
Bat Speed
Avg
17
67.9
Median
15
69.3
90th %
9
73.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
68
24.6
Whiff %
93
12.2
K %
91
13.0
BB %
43
8.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-27.5r
279 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.3r
336 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.7%
1,946 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.25
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
44+33%6+0%8545+18%11+32%19+12%34+12%41+4%23+8%13+0%6+40%25+17%36-29%77-45%69-24%49+32%28+0%6+54%26-4%45-43%54-24%70-36%53+38%34-9%11+22%9-6%18+12%34+19%32+32%19+13%8242+0%8+17%612CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000